Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026
The Saturday Slate
Fri, Oct 30 · 11:00pm CT · Donald W. Reynolds Razorback Stadium · Fayetteville, AR11:00pm CT
#19 MIZ
Missouri Tigers · SEC · 3-0 · Away
FPI 10.5 · rank 32 · No CFBD row
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ARK
Arkansas Razorbacks · SEC · 1-2 · Home
FPI -1.6 · rank 74 · No CFBD row
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Market vs model
Spread
—
ARK —
MIZ —
MIZ —
Model
MIZ -9.6
Edge —
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
MIZ
ARK — · MIZ —
Total — — no O/U pick
Total — — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket
Why
CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.
- ARK rating -1.6, MIZ rating 10.5.
- Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
- Home field adds 2.5 to ARK.
- Predicted margin is MIZ by 9.6.
- There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
- Model away 9.6. No market line yet. (Rating gap -12.1; home field +2.5).
- Moneyline ticket is MIZ, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
- No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.
Recent form
MIZ
- Wvs TROY 27-17 · Sat, Sep 19
- W@ KU 38-21 · Fri, Sep 11
- Wvs UAPB 54-14 · Thu, Sep 3
- Lvs UVA 13-7 · Sat, Dec 27
- W@ ARK 31-17 · Sat, Nov 29
ARK
- Lvs UGA 45-17 · Sat, Sep 19
- L@ UTAH 43-10 · Sat, Sep 12
- Wvs UNA 31-14 · Sat, Sep 5
- Lvs MIZ 31-17 · Sat, Nov 29
- L@ TEX 52-37 · Sat, Nov 22
Injuries
no injury feed wired yet
Lock a ticket
Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.
Model away 9.6. No market line yet. (Rating gap -12.1; home field +2.5).
Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.