Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026

The Saturday Slate

← The board
Sat, Oct 31 · 2:30pm CT · Mercedes-Benz Stadium · Atlanta, GA · ABC · Neutral · Indoor2:30pm CT
#21 FLA
Florida Gators · SEC · 3-0 · Away
FPI 16.4 · rank 16 · No CFBD row
+12.5 (-110)
+410
#2 UGA
Georgia Bulldogs · SEC · 3-0
FPI 27.1 · rank 3 · No CFBD row
-12.5 (-110)
-550

Market vs model

Spread
UGA -12.5
UGA -12.5 (-110)
FLA +12.5 (-110)
Model
UGA -10.7
Edge 1.8 pts FLA
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
UGA
UGA -550 · FLA +410
Total 53.5 — no O/U pick
CallLean

Number from DraftKings, via ESPN.

Why

CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.

  • UGA rating 27.1, FLA rating 16.4.
  • Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
  • Neutral site, so home field is 0.
  • Predicted margin is UGA by 10.7.
  • Edge is 1.8 points toward FLA.
  • Edge 1.8 pts vs the posted number. (Rating gap 10.7; neutral site (no home field)).
  • Moneyline ticket is UGA, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
  • No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.

Recent form

FLA

FPI 16.4 · rank 16 · No CFBD row

  1. W@ AUB 44-39 · Sat, Sep 19
  2. Wvs CAM 52-3 · Sat, Sep 12
  3. Wvs FAU 66-21 · Sat, Sep 5
  4. Wvs FSU 40-21 · Sat, Nov 29
  5. Lvs TENN 31-11 · Sat, Nov 22

UGA

FPI 27.1 · rank 3 · No CFBD row

  1. W@ ARK 45-17 · Sat, Sep 19
  2. Wvs WKU 70-20 · Sat, Sep 12
  3. Wvs TNST 63-3 · Sat, Sep 5
  4. Lvs MISS 39-34 · Thu, Jan 1
  5. Wvs ALA 28-7 · Sat, Dec 6

Injuries

no injury feed wired yet

Lock a ticket

Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.

Writes this spread into the ledger. Closing-line value stays blank.

Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.