Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026

The Saturday Slate

← The board
Fri, Oct 30 · 11:00pm CT · Vaught-Hemingway Stadium · Oxford, MS11:00pm CT
AUB
Auburn Tigers · SEC · 2-1 · Away
FPI 12.9 · rank 24 · No CFBD row
#4 MISS
Ole Miss Rebels · SEC · 3-0 · Home
FPI 17.7 · rank 13 · No CFBD row

Market vs model

Spread
MISS
AUB
Model
MISS -7.3
Edge
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
MISS
MISS · AUB
Total — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket

Why

CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.

  • MISS rating 17.7, AUB rating 12.9.
  • Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
  • Home field adds 2.5 to MISS.
  • Predicted margin is MISS by 7.3.
  • There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
  • Model home 7.3. No market line yet. (Rating gap 4.8; home field +2.5).
  • Moneyline ticket is MISS, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
  • No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.

Recent form

AUB

FPI 12.9 · rank 24 · No CFBD row

  1. Lvs FLA 44-39 · Sat, Sep 19
  2. Wvs USM 43-8 · Sat, Sep 12
  3. Wvs BAY 17-16 · Sat, Sep 5
  4. Lvs ALA 27-20 · Sat, Nov 29
  5. Wvs MER 62-17 · Sat, Nov 22

MISS

FPI 17.7 · rank 13 · No CFBD row

  1. Wvs LSU 32-24 · Sat, Sep 19
  2. Wvs CLT 41-9 · Sat, Sep 12
  3. Wvs LOU 41-38 · Sun, Sep 6
  4. Lvs MIA 31-27 · Thu, Jan 8
  5. Wvs UGA 39-34 · Thu, Jan 1

Injuries

no injury feed wired yet

Lock a ticket

Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.

Model home 7.3. No market line yet. (Rating gap 4.8; home field +2.5).

Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.