Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026
The Saturday Slate
Fri, Oct 30 · 11:00pm CT · DKR-Texas Memorial Stadium · Austin, TX11:00pm CT
#24 MSST
Mississippi State Bulldogs · SEC · 3-0 · Away
FPI 14.1 · rank 22 · No CFBD row
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#1 TEX
Texas Longhorns · SEC · 3-0 · Home
FPI 28.1 · rank 2 · No CFBD row
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Market vs model
Spread
—
TEX —
MSST —
MSST —
Model
TEX -16.5
Edge —
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
TEX
TEX — · MSST —
Total — — no O/U pick
Total — — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket
Why
CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.
- TEX rating 28.1, MSST rating 14.1.
- Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
- Home field adds 2.5 to TEX.
- Predicted margin is TEX by 16.5.
- There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
- Model home 16.5. No market line yet. (Rating gap 14; home field +2.5).
- Moneyline ticket is TEX, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
- No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.
Recent form
MSST
- W@ SC 41-34 · Sat, Sep 19
- W@ MINN 38-13 · Sat, Sep 12
- Wvs ULM 62-13 · Sat, Sep 5
- Lvs WAKE 43-29 · Fri, Jan 2
- Lvs MISS 38-19 · Fri, Nov 28
TEX
- Wvs UTSA 30-6 · Sat, Sep 19
- Wvs OSU 24-23 · Sat, Sep 12
- Wvs TXST 59-7 · Sat, Sep 5
- Wvs MICH 41-27 · Wed, Dec 31
- Wvs TA&M 27-17 · Fri, Nov 28
Injuries
no injury feed wired yet
Lock a ticket
Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.
Model home 16.5. No market line yet. (Rating gap 14; home field +2.5).
Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.