Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026
The Saturday Slate
Fri, Nov 6 · 11:00pm CT · Jordan-Hare Stadium · Auburn, AL11:00pm CT
ARK
Arkansas Razorbacks · SEC · 1-2 · Away
FPI -1.6 · rank 74 · No CFBD row
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AUB
Auburn Tigers · SEC · 2-1 · Home
FPI 12.9 · rank 24 · No CFBD row
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Market vs model
Spread
—
AUB —
ARK —
ARK —
Model
AUB -16.9
Edge —
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
AUB
AUB — · ARK —
Total — — no O/U pick
Total — — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket
Why
CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.
- AUB rating 12.9, ARK rating -1.6.
- Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
- Home field adds 2.5 to AUB.
- Predicted margin is AUB by 16.9.
- There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
- Model home 16.9. No market line yet. (Rating gap 14.4; home field +2.5).
- Moneyline ticket is AUB, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
- No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.
Recent form
ARK
- Lvs UGA 45-17 · Sat, Sep 19
- L@ UTAH 43-10 · Sat, Sep 12
- Wvs UNA 31-14 · Sat, Sep 5
- Lvs MIZ 31-17 · Sat, Nov 29
- L@ TEX 52-37 · Sat, Nov 22
AUB
- Lvs FLA 44-39 · Sat, Sep 19
- Wvs USM 43-8 · Sat, Sep 12
- Wvs BAY 17-16 · Sat, Sep 5
- Lvs ALA 27-20 · Sat, Nov 29
- Wvs MER 62-17 · Sat, Nov 22
Injuries
no injury feed wired yet
Lock a ticket
Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.
Model home 16.9. No market line yet. (Rating gap 14.4; home field +2.5).
Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.