Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026

The Saturday Slate

← The board
Fri, Nov 6 · 11:00pm CT · Ben Hill Griffin Stadium · Gainesville, FL11:00pm CT
OU
Oklahoma Sooners · SEC · 2-1 · Away
FPI 16.7 · rank 14 · No CFBD row
#21 FLA
Florida Gators · SEC · 3-0 · Home
FPI 16.4 · rank 16 · No CFBD row

Market vs model

Spread
FLA
OU
Model
FLA -2.1
Edge
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
FLA
FLA · OU
Total — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket

Why

CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.

  • FLA rating 16.4, OU rating 16.7.
  • Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
  • Home field adds 2.5 to FLA.
  • Predicted margin is FLA by 2.1.
  • There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
  • Model home 2.1. No market line yet. (Rating gap -0.4; home field +2.5).
  • Moneyline ticket is FLA, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
  • No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.

Recent form

OU

FPI 16.7 · rank 14 · No CFBD row

  1. Wvs UNM 14-6 · Sat, Sep 19
  2. L@ MICH 17-10 · Sat, Sep 12
  3. Wvs UTEP 51-0 · Fri, Sep 4
  4. Lvs ALA 34-24 · Fri, Dec 19
  5. Wvs LSU 17-13 · Sat, Nov 29

FLA

FPI 16.4 · rank 16 · No CFBD row

  1. W@ AUB 44-39 · Sat, Sep 19
  2. Wvs CAM 52-3 · Sat, Sep 12
  3. Wvs FAU 66-21 · Sat, Sep 5
  4. Wvs FSU 40-21 · Sat, Nov 29
  5. Lvs TENN 31-11 · Sat, Nov 22

Injuries

no injury feed wired yet

Lock a ticket

Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.

Model home 2.1. No market line yet. (Rating gap -0.4; home field +2.5).

Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.