Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026

The Saturday Slate

CollegeNFL
← The board
Fri, Nov 6 · 11:00pm CT · Tiger Stadium (LA) · Baton Rouge, LA11:00pm CT
#8 ALA
Alabama Crimson Tide · SEC · 3-0 · Away
FPI 22.3 · rank 7 · No CFBD row
+3.5 (-112)
+154
#10 LSU
LSU Tigers · SEC · 2-1 · Home
FPI 20.3 · rank 8 · No CFBD row
-3.5 (-108)
-185

Market vs model

Spread
LSU -3.5
LSU -3.5 (-108)
ALA +3.5 (-112)
Model
LSU -0.6
Edge 2.9 pts ALA
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
Pass
LSU -185 · ALA +154
Total 54.5 — no O/U pick
CallLean

Number from DraftKings, via ESPN.

Why

CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.

  • LSU rating 20.3, ALA rating 22.3.
  • Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
  • Home field adds 2.5 to LSU.
  • Predicted margin is LSU by 0.6.
  • Edge is 2.9 points toward ALA.
  • Edge 2.9 pts vs the posted number. (Rating gap -1.9; home field +2.5).
  • Moneyline is a pass — the predicted margin is inside 2 points.
  • No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.

Recent form

ALA

FPI 22.3 · rank 7 · No CFBD row

  1. Wvs FSU 50-36 · Sat, Sep 19
  2. W@ UK 45-17 · Sat, Sep 12
  3. Wvs ECU 48-10 · Sat, Sep 5
  4. Lvs IU 38-3 · Thu, Jan 1
  5. W@ OU 34-24 · Fri, Dec 19

LSU

FPI 20.3 · rank 8 · No CFBD row

  1. L@ MISS 32-24 · Sat, Sep 19
  2. Wvs LT 45-14 · Sat, Sep 12
  3. Wvs CLEM 51-10 · Sat, Sep 5
  4. Lvs HOU 38-35 · Sat, Dec 27
  5. L@ OU 17-13 · Sat, Nov 29

Injuries

no injury feed wired yet

Lock a ticket

Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.

Writes this spread into the ledger. Closing-line value stays blank.

No moneyline ticket — predicted margin is inside 2 points.

Parlay deskAdd ATS