Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026

The Saturday Slate

← The board
Fri, Nov 6 · 11:00pm CT · Vaught-Hemingway Stadium · Oxford, MS11:00pm CT
#2 UGA
Georgia Bulldogs · SEC · 3-0 · Away
FPI 27.1 · rank 3 · No CFBD row
-4.5 (-108)
-218
#4 MISS
Ole Miss Rebels · SEC · 3-0 · Home
FPI 17.7 · rank 13 · No CFBD row
+4.5 (-112)
+180

Market vs model

Spread
UGA -4.5
MISS +4.5 (-112)
UGA -4.5 (-108)
Model
UGA -6.9
Edge 2.4 pts UGA
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
UGA
MISS +180 · UGA -218
Total 55.5 — no O/U pick
CallLean

Number from DraftKings, via ESPN.

Why

CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.

  • MISS rating 17.7, UGA rating 27.1.
  • Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
  • Home field adds 2.5 to MISS.
  • Predicted margin is UGA by 6.9.
  • Edge is 2.4 points toward UGA.
  • Edge 2.4 pts vs the posted number. (Rating gap -9.4; home field +2.5).
  • Moneyline ticket is UGA, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
  • No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.

Recent form

UGA

FPI 27.1 · rank 3 · No CFBD row

  1. W@ ARK 45-17 · Sat, Sep 19
  2. Wvs WKU 70-20 · Sat, Sep 12
  3. Wvs TNST 63-3 · Sat, Sep 5
  4. Lvs MISS 39-34 · Thu, Jan 1
  5. Wvs ALA 28-7 · Sat, Dec 6

MISS

FPI 17.7 · rank 13 · No CFBD row

  1. Wvs LSU 32-24 · Sat, Sep 19
  2. Wvs CLT 41-9 · Sat, Sep 12
  3. Wvs LOU 41-38 · Sun, Sep 6
  4. Lvs MIA 31-27 · Thu, Jan 8
  5. Wvs UGA 39-34 · Thu, Jan 1

Injuries

no injury feed wired yet

Lock a ticket

Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.

Writes this spread into the ledger. Closing-line value stays blank.

Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.