Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026

The Saturday Slate

← The board
Fri, Nov 6 · 11:00pm CT · Memorial Stadium · Columbia, MO11:00pm CT
#1 TEX
Texas Longhorns · SEC · 3-0 · Away
FPI 28.1 · rank 2 · No CFBD row
#19 MIZ
Missouri Tigers · SEC · 3-0 · Home
FPI 10.5 · rank 32 · No CFBD row

Market vs model

Spread
MIZ
TEX
Model
TEX -15.1
Edge
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
TEX
MIZ · TEX
Total — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket

Why

CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.

  • MIZ rating 10.5, TEX rating 28.1.
  • Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
  • Home field adds 2.5 to MIZ.
  • Predicted margin is TEX by 15.1.
  • There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
  • Model away 15.1. No market line yet. (Rating gap -17.6; home field +2.5).
  • Moneyline ticket is TEX, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
  • No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.

Recent form

TEX

FPI 28.1 · rank 2 · No CFBD row

  1. Wvs UTSA 30-6 · Sat, Sep 19
  2. Wvs OSU 24-23 · Sat, Sep 12
  3. Wvs TXST 59-7 · Sat, Sep 5
  4. Wvs MICH 41-27 · Wed, Dec 31
  5. Wvs TA&M 27-17 · Fri, Nov 28

MIZ

FPI 10.5 · rank 32 · No CFBD row

  1. Wvs TROY 27-17 · Sat, Sep 19
  2. W@ KU 38-21 · Fri, Sep 11
  3. Wvs UAPB 54-14 · Thu, Sep 3
  4. Lvs UVA 13-7 · Sat, Dec 27
  5. W@ ARK 31-17 · Sat, Nov 29

Injuries

no injury feed wired yet

Lock a ticket

Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.

Model away 15.1. No market line yet. (Rating gap -17.6; home field +2.5).

Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.