Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026

The Saturday Slate

← The board
Fri, Nov 6 · 11:00pm CT · Neyland Stadium · Knoxville, TN11:00pm CT
UK
Kentucky Wildcats · SEC · 2-1 · Away
FPI 8.5 · rank 36 · No CFBD row
#14 TENN
Tennessee Volunteers · SEC · 3-0 · Home
FPI 18.5 · rank 10 · No CFBD row

Market vs model

Spread
TENN
UK
Model
TENN -12.5
Edge
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
TENN
TENN · UK
Total — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket

Why

CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.

  • TENN rating 18.5, UK rating 8.5.
  • Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
  • Home field adds 2.5 to TENN.
  • Predicted margin is TENN by 12.5.
  • There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
  • Model home 12.5. No market line yet. (Rating gap 10; home field +2.5).
  • Moneyline ticket is TENN, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
  • No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.

Recent form

UK

FPI 8.5 · rank 36 · No CFBD row

  1. W@ TA&M 31-21 · Sat, Sep 19
  2. Lvs ALA 45-17 · Sat, Sep 12
  3. Wvs YSU 45-13 · Sat, Sep 5
  4. L@ LOU 41-0 · Sat, Nov 29
  5. L@ VAN 45-17 · Sat, Nov 22

TENN

FPI 18.5 · rank 10 · No CFBD row

  1. Wvs KENN 42-9 · Sat, Sep 19
  2. W@ GT 45-24 · Sat, Sep 12
  3. Wvs FUR 56-9 · Sat, Sep 5
  4. Lvs ILL 30-28 · Tue, Dec 30
  5. Lvs VAN 45-24 · Sat, Nov 29

Injuries

no injury feed wired yet

Lock a ticket

Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.

Model home 12.5. No market line yet. (Rating gap 10; home field +2.5).

Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.