Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026

The Saturday Slate

CollegeNFL
← The board
Sat, Nov 21 · 1:00pm CT · Bryant-Denny Stadium · Tuscaloosa, AL · SECN+1:00pm CT
UTC
Chattanooga Mocs · 2-2 · Away
No FPI row · No CFBD row
—
—
#8 ALA
Alabama Crimson Tide · SEC · 3-0 · Home
FPI 22.3 · rank 7 · No CFBD row
—
—

Market vs model

Spread
—
ALA —
UTC —
Model
ALA -36.8
Edge —
Thin data
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
ALA
ALA — · UTC —
Total — — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket

Why

CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.

  • ALA rating 22.3, UTC rating -12.
  • Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
  • Home field adds 2.5 to ALA.
  • Predicted margin is ALA by 36.8.
  • There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
  • Model home 36.8. No market line yet. (Rating gap 34.3; home field +2.5; FCS placeholder -12).
  • Moneyline ticket is ALA, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
  • No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.

Recent form

UTC

No FPI row · No CFBD row

  1. Wvs WOF 41-7 · Sat, Sep 19
  2. L@ EKU 22-17 · Sat, Sep 12
  3. Lvs TNTC 24-9 · Sat, Sep 5
  4. W@ WES 24-10 · Thu, Aug 27
  5. L@ WOF 35-13 · Sat, Nov 22

ALA

FPI 22.3 · rank 7 · No CFBD row

  1. Wvs FSU 50-36 · Sat, Sep 19
  2. W@ UK 45-17 · Sat, Sep 12
  3. Wvs ECU 48-10 · Sat, Sep 5
  4. Lvs IU 38-3 · Thu, Jan 1
  5. W@ OU 34-24 · Fri, Dec 19

Injuries

no injury feed wired yet

Lock a ticket

Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.

Model home 36.8. No market line yet. (Rating gap 34.3; home field +2.5; FCS placeholder -12).

Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.

Parlay deskAdd ML