Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026
The Saturday Slate
Sat, Nov 21 · 2:30pm CT · Jordan-Hare Stadium · Auburn, AL · SECN+2:30pm CT
SAM
Samford Bulldogs · 0-3 · Away
No FPI row · No CFBD row
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AUB
Auburn Tigers · SEC · 2-1 · Home
FPI 12.9 · rank 24 · No CFBD row
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Market vs model
Spread
—
AUB —
SAM —
SAM —
Model
AUB -27.4
Edge —
Thin data
ESPN FPI only
Thin data
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
AUB
AUB — · SAM —
Total — — no O/U pick
Total — — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket
Why
CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.
- AUB rating 12.9, SAM rating -12.
- Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
- Home field adds 2.5 to AUB.
- Predicted margin is AUB by 27.4.
- There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
- Model home 27.4. No market line yet. (Rating gap 24.9; home field +2.5; FCS placeholder -12).
- Moneyline ticket is AUB, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
- No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.
Recent form
SAM
- L@ TNTC 45-19 · Sat, Sep 12
- Lvs SIU 22-18 · Thu, Sep 3
- Lvs UNA 22-10 · Sat, Aug 29
- L@ TA&M 48-0 · Sat, Nov 22
- L@ APSU 30-16 · Sat, Nov 15
AUB
- Lvs FLA 44-39 · Sat, Sep 19
- Wvs USM 43-8 · Sat, Sep 12
- Wvs BAY 17-16 · Sat, Sep 5
- Lvs ALA 27-20 · Sat, Nov 29
- Wvs MER 62-17 · Sat, Nov 22
Injuries
no injury feed wired yet
Lock a ticket
Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.
Model home 27.4. No market line yet. (Rating gap 24.9; home field +2.5; FCS placeholder -12).
Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.