Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026

The Saturday Slate

CollegeNFL
← The board
Sat, Nov 21 · 12:00pm CT · Davis Wade Stadium · Starkville, MS · SECN+12:00pm CT
TNTC
Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles · 3-0 · Away
No FPI row · No CFBD row
—
—
#24 MSST
Mississippi State Bulldogs · SEC · 3-0 · Home
FPI 14.1 · rank 22 · No CFBD row
—
—

Market vs model

Spread
—
MSST —
TNTC —
Model
MSST -28.6
Edge —
Thin data
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
MSST
MSST — · TNTC —
Total — — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket

Why

CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.

  • MSST rating 14.1, TNTC rating -12.
  • Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
  • Home field adds 2.5 to MSST.
  • Predicted margin is MSST by 28.6.
  • There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
  • Model home 28.6. No market line yet. (Rating gap 26.1; home field +2.5; FCS placeholder -12).
  • Moneyline ticket is MSST, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
  • No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.

Recent form

TNTC

No FPI row · No CFBD row

  1. Wvs SAM 45-19 · Sat, Sep 12
  2. W@ UTC 24-9 · Sat, Sep 5
  3. Wvs MONM 38-14 · Sat, Aug 29
  4. Lvs UND 31-6 · Sat, Nov 29
  5. Wvs UTM 20-17 · Sat, Nov 22

MSST

FPI 14.1 · rank 22 · No CFBD row

  1. W@ SC 41-34 · Sat, Sep 19
  2. W@ MINN 38-13 · Sat, Sep 12
  3. Wvs ULM 62-13 · Sat, Sep 5
  4. Lvs WAKE 43-29 · Fri, Jan 2
  5. Lvs MISS 38-19 · Fri, Nov 28

Injuries

no injury feed wired yet

Lock a ticket

Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.

Model home 28.6. No market line yet. (Rating gap 26.1; home field +2.5; FCS placeholder -12).

Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.

Parlay deskAdd ML