Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026

The Saturday Slate

← The board
Fri, Nov 20 · 11:00pm CT · Memorial Stadium · Columbia, MO11:00pm CT
UK
Kentucky Wildcats · SEC · 2-1 · Away
FPI 8.5 · rank 36 · No CFBD row
#19 MIZ
Missouri Tigers · SEC · 3-0 · Home
FPI 10.5 · rank 32 · No CFBD row

Market vs model

Spread
MIZ
UK
Model
MIZ -4.6
Edge
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
MIZ
MIZ · UK
Total — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket

Why

CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.

  • MIZ rating 10.5, UK rating 8.5.
  • Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
  • Home field adds 2.5 to MIZ.
  • Predicted margin is MIZ by 4.6.
  • There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
  • Model home 4.6. No market line yet. (Rating gap 2.1; home field +2.5).
  • Moneyline ticket is MIZ, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
  • No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.

Recent form

UK

FPI 8.5 · rank 36 · No CFBD row

  1. W@ TA&M 31-21 · Sat, Sep 19
  2. Lvs ALA 45-17 · Sat, Sep 12
  3. Wvs YSU 45-13 · Sat, Sep 5
  4. L@ LOU 41-0 · Sat, Nov 29
  5. L@ VAN 45-17 · Sat, Nov 22

MIZ

FPI 10.5 · rank 32 · No CFBD row

  1. Wvs TROY 27-17 · Sat, Sep 19
  2. W@ KU 38-21 · Fri, Sep 11
  3. Wvs UAPB 54-14 · Thu, Sep 3
  4. Lvs UVA 13-7 · Sat, Dec 27
  5. W@ ARK 31-17 · Sat, Nov 29

Injuries

no injury feed wired yet

Lock a ticket

Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.

Model home 4.6. No market line yet. (Rating gap 2.1; home field +2.5).

Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.