Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026
The Saturday Slate
Fri, Nov 20 · 11:00pm CT · Neyland Stadium · Knoxville, TN11:00pm CT
#10 LSU
LSU Tigers · SEC · 2-1 · Away
FPI 20.3 · rank 8 · No CFBD row
-1.5 (-108)
-120
#14 TENN
Tennessee Volunteers · SEC · 3-0 · Home
FPI 18.5 · rank 10 · No CFBD row
+1.5 (-112)
+100
Market vs model
Spread
LSU -1.5
TENN +1.5 (-112)
LSU -1.5 (-108)
LSU -1.5 (-108)
Model
TENN -0.7
Edge 2.2 pts TENN
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
Pass
TENN +100 · LSU -120
Total 57.5 — no O/U pick
Total 57.5 — no O/U pick
CallLean
Why
CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.
- TENN rating 18.5, LSU rating 20.3.
- Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
- Home field adds 2.5 to TENN.
- Predicted margin is TENN by 0.7.
- Edge is 2.2 points toward TENN.
- Edge 2.2 pts vs the posted number. (Rating gap -1.8; home field +2.5).
- Moneyline is a pass — the predicted margin is inside 2 points.
- No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.
Recent form
LSU
- L@ MISS 32-24 · Sat, Sep 19
- Wvs LT 45-14 · Sat, Sep 12
- Wvs CLEM 51-10 · Sat, Sep 5
- Lvs HOU 38-35 · Sat, Dec 27
- L@ OU 17-13 · Sat, Nov 29
TENN
- Wvs KENN 42-9 · Sat, Sep 19
- W@ GT 45-24 · Sat, Sep 12
- Wvs FUR 56-9 · Sat, Sep 5
- Lvs ILL 30-28 · Tue, Dec 30
- Lvs VAN 45-24 · Sat, Nov 29
Injuries
no injury feed wired yet
Lock a ticket
Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.
Writes this spread into the ledger. Closing-line value stays blank.
No moneyline ticket — predicted margin is inside 2 points.