Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026
The Saturday Slate
Fri, Nov 20 · 11:00pm CT · DKR-Texas Memorial Stadium · Austin, TX11:00pm CT
ARK
Arkansas Razorbacks · SEC · 1-2 · Away
FPI -1.6 · rank 74 · No CFBD row
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#1 TEX
Texas Longhorns · SEC · 3-0 · Home
FPI 28.1 · rank 2 · No CFBD row
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Market vs model
Spread
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TEX —
ARK —
ARK —
Model
TEX -32.2
Edge —
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
TEX
TEX — · ARK —
Total — — no O/U pick
Total — — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket
Why
CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.
- TEX rating 28.1, ARK rating -1.6.
- Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
- Home field adds 2.5 to TEX.
- Predicted margin is TEX by 32.2.
- There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
- Model home 32.2. No market line yet. (Rating gap 29.7; home field +2.5).
- Moneyline ticket is TEX, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
- No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.
Recent form
ARK
- Lvs UGA 45-17 · Sat, Sep 19
- L@ UTAH 43-10 · Sat, Sep 12
- Wvs UNA 31-14 · Sat, Sep 5
- Lvs MIZ 31-17 · Sat, Nov 29
- L@ TEX 52-37 · Sat, Nov 22
TEX
- Wvs UTSA 30-6 · Sat, Sep 19
- Wvs OSU 24-23 · Sat, Sep 12
- Wvs TXST 59-7 · Sat, Sep 5
- Wvs MICH 41-27 · Wed, Dec 31
- Wvs TA&M 27-17 · Fri, Nov 28
Injuries
no injury feed wired yet
Lock a ticket
Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.
Model home 32.2. No market line yet. (Rating gap 29.7; home field +2.5).
Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.