Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026

The Saturday Slate

← The board
Fri, Nov 27 · 6:30pm CT · Kyle Field · College Station, TX · ABC6:30pm CT
#1 TEX
Texas Longhorns · SEC · 3-0 · Away
FPI 28.1 · rank 2 · No CFBD row
-2.5 (-108)
-142
#23 TA&M
Texas A&M Aggies · SEC · 2-1 · Home
FPI 18.2 · rank 11 · No CFBD row
+2.5 (-112)
+120

Market vs model

Spread
TEX -2.5
TA&M +2.5 (-112)
TEX -2.5 (-108)
Model
TEX -7.4
Edge 4.9 pts TEX
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
TEX
TA&M +120 · TEX -142
Total 53.5 — no O/U pick
CallPlay

Number from DraftKings, via ESPN.

Why

CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.

  • TA&M rating 18.2, TEX rating 28.1.
  • Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
  • Home field adds 2.5 to TA&M.
  • Predicted margin is TEX by 7.4.
  • Edge is 4.9 points toward TEX.
  • Edge 4.9 pts vs the posted number. (Rating gap -9.9; home field +2.5).
  • Moneyline ticket is TEX, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
  • No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.

Recent form

TEX

FPI 28.1 · rank 2 · No CFBD row

  1. Wvs UTSA 30-6 · Sat, Sep 19
  2. Wvs OSU 24-23 · Sat, Sep 12
  3. Wvs TXST 59-7 · Sat, Sep 5
  4. Wvs MICH 41-27 · Wed, Dec 31
  5. Wvs TA&M 27-17 · Fri, Nov 28

TA&M

FPI 18.2 · rank 11 · No CFBD row

  1. Lvs UK 31-21 · Sat, Sep 19
  2. Wvs ASU 48-20 · Sat, Sep 12
  3. Wvs MOST 50-0 · Sat, Sep 5
  4. Lvs MIA 10-3 · Sat, Dec 20
  5. L@ TEX 27-17 · Fri, Nov 28

Injuries

no injury feed wired yet

Lock a ticket

Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.

Writes this spread into the ledger. Closing-line value stays blank.

Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.