Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026
The Saturday Slate
Fri, Nov 27 · 11:00pm CT · Bryant-Denny Stadium · Tuscaloosa, AL11:00pm CT
AUB
Auburn Tigers · SEC · 2-1 · Away
FPI 12.9 · rank 24 · No CFBD row
+10 (-110)
+330
#8 ALA
Alabama Crimson Tide · SEC · 3-0 · Home
FPI 22.3 · rank 7 · No CFBD row
-10 (-110)
-425
Market vs model
Spread
ALA -10
ALA -10 (-110)
AUB +10 (-110)
AUB +10 (-110)
Model
ALA -11.9
Edge 1.9 pts ALA
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
ALA
ALA -425 · AUB +330
Total 52.5 — no O/U pick
Total 52.5 — no O/U pick
CallLean
Why
CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.
- ALA rating 22.3, AUB rating 12.9.
- Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
- Home field adds 2.5 to ALA.
- Predicted margin is ALA by 11.9.
- Edge is 1.9 points toward ALA.
- Edge 1.9 pts vs the posted number. (Rating gap 9.4; home field +2.5).
- Moneyline ticket is ALA, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
- No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.
Recent form
AUB
- Lvs FLA 44-39 · Sat, Sep 19
- Wvs USM 43-8 · Sat, Sep 12
- Wvs BAY 17-16 · Sat, Sep 5
- Lvs ALA 27-20 · Sat, Nov 29
- Wvs MER 62-17 · Sat, Nov 22
ALA
- Wvs FSU 50-36 · Sat, Sep 19
- W@ UK 45-17 · Sat, Sep 12
- Wvs ECU 48-10 · Sat, Sep 5
- Lvs IU 38-3 · Thu, Jan 1
- W@ OU 34-24 · Fri, Dec 19
Injuries
no injury feed wired yet
Lock a ticket
Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.
Writes this spread into the ledger. Closing-line value stays blank.
Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.