Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026
The Saturday Slate
Fri, Nov 27 · 11:00pm CT · Donald W. Reynolds Razorback Stadium · Fayetteville, AR11:00pm CT
#10 LSU
LSU Tigers · SEC · 2-1 · Away
FPI 20.3 · rank 8 · No CFBD row
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ARK
Arkansas Razorbacks · SEC · 1-2 · Home
FPI -1.6 · rank 74 · No CFBD row
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Market vs model
Spread
—
ARK —
LSU —
LSU —
Model
LSU -19.4
Edge —
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
LSU
ARK — · LSU —
Total — — no O/U pick
Total — — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket
Why
CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.
- ARK rating -1.6, LSU rating 20.3.
- Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
- Home field adds 2.5 to ARK.
- Predicted margin is LSU by 19.4.
- There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
- Model away 19.4. No market line yet. (Rating gap -21.9; home field +2.5).
- Moneyline ticket is LSU, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
- No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.
Recent form
LSU
- L@ MISS 32-24 · Sat, Sep 19
- Wvs LT 45-14 · Sat, Sep 12
- Wvs CLEM 51-10 · Sat, Sep 5
- Lvs HOU 38-35 · Sat, Dec 27
- L@ OU 17-13 · Sat, Nov 29
ARK
- Lvs UGA 45-17 · Sat, Sep 19
- L@ UTAH 43-10 · Sat, Sep 12
- Wvs UNA 31-14 · Sat, Sep 5
- Lvs MIZ 31-17 · Sat, Nov 29
- L@ TEX 52-37 · Sat, Nov 22
Injuries
no injury feed wired yet
Lock a ticket
Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.
Model away 19.4. No market line yet. (Rating gap -21.9; home field +2.5).
Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.