Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026
The Saturday Slate
Fri, Nov 27 · 11:00am CT · Vaught-Hemingway Stadium · Oxford, MS · ABC11:00am CT
#24 MSST
Mississippi State Bulldogs · SEC · 3-0 · Away
FPI 14.1 · rank 22 · No CFBD row
+14.5 (-110)
+440
#4 MISS
Ole Miss Rebels · SEC · 3-0 · Home
FPI 17.7 · rank 13 · No CFBD row
-14.5 (-110)
-600
Market vs model
Spread
MISS -14.5
MISS -14.5 (-110)
MSST +14.5 (-110)
MSST +14.5 (-110)
Model
MISS -6.1
Edge 8.4 pts MSST
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
MISS
MISS -600 · MSST +440
Total 57.5 — no O/U pick
Total 57.5 — no O/U pick
CallStrong
Why
CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.
- MISS rating 17.7, MSST rating 14.1.
- Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
- Home field adds 2.5 to MISS.
- Predicted margin is MISS by 6.1.
- Edge is 8.4 points toward MSST.
- Edge 8.4 pts vs the posted number. (Rating gap 3.6; home field +2.5).
- Moneyline ticket is MISS, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
- No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.
Recent form
MSST
- W@ SC 41-34 · Sat, Sep 19
- W@ MINN 38-13 · Sat, Sep 12
- Wvs ULM 62-13 · Sat, Sep 5
- Lvs WAKE 43-29 · Fri, Jan 2
- Lvs MISS 38-19 · Fri, Nov 28
MISS
- Wvs LSU 32-24 · Sat, Sep 19
- Wvs CLT 41-9 · Sat, Sep 12
- Wvs LOU 41-38 · Sun, Sep 6
- Lvs MIA 31-27 · Thu, Jan 8
- Wvs UGA 39-34 · Thu, Jan 1
Injuries
no injury feed wired yet
Lock a ticket
Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.
Writes this spread into the ledger. Closing-line value stays blank.
Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.