Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026

The Saturday Slate

← The board
Fri, Nov 27 · 11:00pm CT · Memorial Stadium (Clemson, SC) · Clemson, SC11:00pm CT
SC
South Carolina Gamecocks · SEC · 2-1 · Away
FPI 12.1 · rank 27 · No CFBD row
+3 (-105)
+136
CLEM
Clemson Tigers · ACC · 2-1 · Home
FPI 6.1 · rank 42 · No CFBD row
-3 (-115)
-162

Market vs model

Spread
CLEM -3
CLEM -3 (-115)
SC +3 (-105)
Model
SC -3.5
Edge 6.5 pts SC
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
SC
CLEM -162 · SC +136
Total 53.5 — no O/U pick
CallStrong

Number from DraftKings, via ESPN.

Why

CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.

  • CLEM rating 6.1, SC rating 12.1.
  • Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
  • Home field adds 2.5 to CLEM.
  • Predicted margin is SC by 3.5.
  • Edge is 6.5 points toward SC.
  • Edge 6.5 pts vs the posted number. (Rating gap -6; home field +2.5).
  • Moneyline ticket is SC, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
  • No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.

Recent form

SC

FPI 12.1 · rank 27 · No CFBD row

  1. Lvs MSST 41-34 · Sat, Sep 19
  2. Wvs TOW 45-9 · Sat, Sep 12
  3. Wvs KENT 57-0 · Sat, Sep 5
  4. Lvs CLEM 28-14 · Sat, Nov 29
  5. Wvs CCU 51-7 · Sat, Nov 22

CLEM

FPI 6.1 · rank 42 · No CFBD row

  1. Wvs UNC 28-20 · Sat, Sep 19
  2. Wvs GASO 22-7 · Sat, Sep 12
  3. L@ LSU 51-10 · Sat, Sep 5
  4. Lvs PSU 22-10 · Sat, Dec 27
  5. W@ SC 28-14 · Sat, Nov 29

Injuries

no injury feed wired yet

Lock a ticket

Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.

Writes this spread into the ledger. Closing-line value stays blank.

Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.