Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026
The Saturday Slate
Sat, Aug 29 · 11:00am CT · Aviva Stadium · Dublin · ESPN · NeutralFinal
UNC
North Carolina Tar Heels · ACC · 1-0 · Away
FPI 4.9 · rank 51 · No CFBD row
+7.5 (-118)
+245
TCU
TCU Horned Frogs · Big 12 · 0-1
FPI 7.2 · rank 41 · No CFBD row
-7.5 (-102)
-305
Market vs model
Spread
TCU -7.5
TCU -7.5 (-102)
UNC +7.5 (-118)
UNC +7.5 (-118)
Model
TCU -2.3
Edge —
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
TCU
TCU -305 · UNC +245
Total 46.5 — no O/U pick
Total 46.5 — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket
ML loss
Why
CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.
- TCU rating 7.2, UNC rating 4.9.
- Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
- Neutral site, so home field is 0.
- Predicted margin is TCU by 2.3.
- There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
- Model home 2.3. No market line yet. (Rating gap 2.3; neutral site (no home field)).
- Moneyline ticket is TCU, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
- No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.
Recent form
UNC
ESPN did not send a recent-form list.
TCU
ESPN did not send a recent-form list.
Injuries
no injury feed wired yet
Lock a ticket
Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.
Model home 2.3. No market line yet. (Rating gap 2.3; neutral site (no home field)).
Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.