Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026

The Saturday Slate

← The board
Fri, Sep 4 · 7:00pm CT · David Booth Kansas Memorial Stadium · Lawrence, KS · ESPNUFinal
LIU
Long Island University Sharks · 0-2 · Away
No FPI row · No CFBD row
+44.5 (-105)
KU
Kansas Jayhawks · Big 12 · 1-0 · Home
FPI -0.1 · rank 67 · No CFBD row
-44.5 (-115)

Market vs model

Spread
KU -44.5
KU -44.5 (-115)
LIU +44.5 (-105)
Model
KU -14.4
Edge
Thin data
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
KU
KU · LIU
Total 57.5 — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket
ML win

Number from DraftKings, via ESPN.

Why

CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.

  • KU rating -0.1, LIU rating -12.
  • Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
  • Home field adds 2.5 to KU.
  • Predicted margin is KU by 14.4.
  • There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
  • Model home 14.4. No market line yet. (Rating gap 11.9; home field +2.5; FCS placeholder -12).
  • Moneyline ticket is KU, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
  • No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.

Recent form

LIU

No FPI row · No CFBD row

ESPN did not send a recent-form list.

KU

FPI -0.1 · rank 67 · No CFBD row

ESPN did not send a recent-form list.

Injuries

no injury feed wired yet

Lock a ticket

Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.

Model home 14.4. No market line yet. (Rating gap 11.9; home field +2.5; FCS placeholder -12).

Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.