Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026
The Saturday Slate
Sat, Sep 5 · 6:00pm CT · Galaxy Stadium · Lubbock, TX · FS1Final
ACU
Abilene Christian Wildcats · 0-2 · Away
No FPI row · No CFBD row
+45.5 (-108)
—
#11 TTU
Texas Tech Red Raiders · Big 12 · 1-0 · Home
FPI 15.8 · rank 17 · No CFBD row
-45.5 (-112)
—
Market vs model
Spread
TTU -45.5
TTU -45.5 (-112)
ACU +45.5 (-108)
ACU +45.5 (-108)
Model
TTU -30.3
Edge —
Thin data
ESPN FPI only
Thin data
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
TTU
TTU — · ACU —
Total 61.5 — no O/U pick
Total 61.5 — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket
ML win
Why
CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.
- TTU rating 15.8, ACU rating -12.
- Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
- Home field adds 2.5 to TTU.
- Predicted margin is TTU by 30.3.
- There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
- Model home 30.3. No market line yet. (Rating gap 27.8; home field +2.5; FCS placeholder -12).
- Moneyline ticket is TTU, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
- No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.
Recent form
ACU
ESPN did not send a recent-form list.
TTU
ESPN did not send a recent-form list.
Injuries
no injury feed wired yet
Lock a ticket
Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.
Model home 30.3. No market line yet. (Rating gap 27.8; home field +2.5; FCS placeholder -12).
Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.