Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026
The Saturday Slate
Sat, Sep 5 · 6:00pm CT · Bill Snyder Family Stadium · Manhattan, KS · ESPN+Final
NICH
Nicholls Colonels · 1-1 · Away
No FPI row · No CFBD row
+41.5 (-110)
—
KSU
Kansas State Wildcats · Big 12 · 1-0 · Home
FPI 11.2 · rank 30 · No CFBD row
-41.5 (-110)
—
Market vs model
Spread
KSU -41.5
KSU -41.5 (-110)
NICH +41.5 (-110)
NICH +41.5 (-110)
Model
KSU -25.7
Edge —
Thin data
ESPN FPI only
Thin data
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
KSU
KSU — · NICH —
Total 55.5 — no O/U pick
Total 55.5 — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket
ML win
Why
CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.
- KSU rating 11.2, NICH rating -12.
- Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
- Home field adds 2.5 to KSU.
- Predicted margin is KSU by 25.7.
- There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
- Model home 25.7. No market line yet. (Rating gap 23.2; home field +2.5; FCS placeholder -12).
- Moneyline ticket is KSU, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
- No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.
Recent form
NICH
ESPN did not send a recent-form list.
KSU
ESPN did not send a recent-form list.
Injuries
no injury feed wired yet
Lock a ticket
Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.
Model home 25.7. No market line yet. (Rating gap 23.2; home field +2.5; FCS placeholder -12).
Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.