Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026
The Saturday Slate
Sat, Sep 5 · 2:45pm CT · H. A. Chapman Stadium · Tulsa, OK · ESPNUFinal
OKST
Oklahoma State Cowboys · Big 12 · 0-1 · Away
FPI 5 · rank 50 · No CFBD row
-13.5 (-115)
-520
TLSA
Tulsa Golden Hurricane · American · 1-0 · Home
FPI -1 · rank 72 · No CFBD row
+13.5 (-112)
+390
Market vs model
Spread
OKST -13.5
TLSA +13.5 (-112)
OKST -13.5 (-115)
OKST -13.5 (-115)
Model
OKST -3.5
Edge —
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
OKST
TLSA +390 · OKST -520
Total 57.5 — no O/U pick
Total 57.5 — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket
ML loss
Why
CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.
- TLSA rating -1, OKST rating 5.
- Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
- Home field adds 2.5 to TLSA.
- Predicted margin is OKST by 3.5.
- There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
- Model away 3.5. No market line yet. (Rating gap -6; home field +2.5).
- Moneyline ticket is OKST, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
- No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.
Recent form
OKST
ESPN did not send a recent-form list.
TLSA
ESPN did not send a recent-form list.
Injuries
no injury feed wired yet
Lock a ticket
Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.
Model away 3.5. No market line yet. (Rating gap -6; home field +2.5).
Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.