Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026
The Saturday Slate
Sat, Sep 5 · 9:00pm CT · Mountain America Stadium · Tempe, AZ · ESPN+Final
MORG
Morgan State Bears · 1-1 · Away
No FPI row · No CFBD row
+43.5 (-105)
—
ASU
Arizona State Sun Devils · Big 12 · 1-0 · Home
FPI 3.8 · rank 58 · No CFBD row
-43.5 (-115)
—
Market vs model
Spread
ASU -43.5
ASU -43.5 (-115)
MORG +43.5 (-105)
MORG +43.5 (-105)
Model
ASU -18.3
Edge —
Thin data
ESPN FPI only
Thin data
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
ASU
ASU — · MORG —
Total 52.5 — no O/U pick
Total 52.5 — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket
ML win
Why
CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.
- ASU rating 3.8, MORG rating -12.
- Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
- Home field adds 2.5 to ASU.
- Predicted margin is ASU by 18.3.
- There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
- Model home 18.3. No market line yet. (Rating gap 15.8; home field +2.5; FCS placeholder -12).
- Moneyline ticket is ASU, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
- No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.
Recent form
MORG
ESPN did not send a recent-form list.
ASU
ESPN did not send a recent-form list.
Injuries
no injury feed wired yet
Lock a ticket
Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.
Model home 18.3. No market line yet. (Rating gap 15.8; home field +2.5; FCS placeholder -12).
Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.