Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026

The Saturday Slate

← The board
Sat, Sep 5 · 7:00pm CT · LaVell Edwards Stadium · Provo, UT · ESPN+Final
UTU
Utah Tech Trailblazers · 0-2 · Away
No FPI row · No CFBD row
+50.5 (-105)
#9 BYU
BYU Cougars · Big 12 · 1-0 · Home
FPI 15.2 · rank 19 · No CFBD row
-50.5 (-115)

Market vs model

Spread
BYU -50.5
BYU -50.5 (-115)
UTU +50.5 (-105)
Model
BYU -29.7
Edge
Thin data
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
BYU
BYU · UTU
Total 61.5 — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket
ML win

Number from DraftKings, via ESPN.

Why

CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.

  • BYU rating 15.2, UTU rating -12.
  • Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
  • Home field adds 2.5 to BYU.
  • Predicted margin is BYU by 29.7.
  • There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
  • Model home 29.7. No market line yet. (Rating gap 27.2; home field +2.5; FCS placeholder -12).
  • Moneyline ticket is BYU, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
  • No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.

Recent form

UTU

No FPI row · No CFBD row

ESPN did not send a recent-form list.

BYU

FPI 15.2 · rank 19 · No CFBD row

ESPN did not send a recent-form list.

Injuries

no injury feed wired yet

Lock a ticket

Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.

Model home 29.7. No market line yet. (Rating gap 27.2; home field +2.5; FCS placeholder -12).

Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.