Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026
The Saturday Slate
Sat, Sep 5 · 2:30pm CT · Nippert Stadium · Cincinnati, OH · FOXFinal
BC
Boston College Eagles · ACC · 0-1 · Away
FPI -5.8 · rank 91 · No CFBD row
+7 (-112)
+230
CIN
Cincinnati Bearcats · Big 12 · 1-0 · Home
FPI 5.8 · rank 46 · No CFBD row
-7 (-108)
-285
Market vs model
Spread
CIN -7
CIN -7 (-108)
BC +7 (-112)
BC +7 (-112)
Model
CIN -14.1
Edge —
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
CIN
CIN -285 · BC +230
Total 51.5 — no O/U pick
Total 51.5 — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket
ML win
Why
CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.
- CIN rating 5.8, BC rating -5.8.
- Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
- Home field adds 2.5 to CIN.
- Predicted margin is CIN by 14.1.
- There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
- Model home 14.1. No market line yet. (Rating gap 11.6; home field +2.5).
- Moneyline ticket is CIN, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
- No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.
Recent form
BC
ESPN did not send a recent-form list.
CIN
ESPN did not send a recent-form list.
Injuries
no injury feed wired yet
Lock a ticket
Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.
Model home 14.1. No market line yet. (Rating gap 11.6; home field +2.5).
Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.