Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026
The Saturday Slate
Sat, Sep 5 · 11:00am CT · TDECU Stadium · Houston, TX · ESPNEWSFinal
ORST
Oregon State Beavers · Pac-12 · 0-1 · Away
FPI -2.2 · rank 78 · No CFBD row
+21 (-115)
+850
#25 HOU
Houston Cougars · Big 12 · 1-0 · Home
FPI 10.8 · rank 31 · No CFBD row
-21 (-105)
-1450
Market vs model
Spread
HOU -21
HOU -21 (-105)
ORST +21 (-115)
ORST +21 (-115)
Model
HOU -15.5
Edge —
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
HOU
HOU -1450 · ORST +850
Total 50.5 — no O/U pick
Total 50.5 — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket
ML win
Why
CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.
- HOU rating 10.8, ORST rating -2.2.
- Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
- Home field adds 2.5 to HOU.
- Predicted margin is HOU by 15.5.
- There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
- Model home 15.5. No market line yet. (Rating gap 13; home field +2.5).
- Moneyline ticket is HOU, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
- No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.
Recent form
ORST
ESPN did not send a recent-form list.
HOU
ESPN did not send a recent-form list.
Injuries
no injury feed wired yet
Lock a ticket
Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.
Model home 15.5. No market line yet. (Rating gap 13; home field +2.5).
Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.