Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026

The Saturday Slate

← The board
Sat, Sep 5 · 11:00am CT · Milan Puskar Stadium · Morgantown, WV · TNTFinal
CCU
Coastal Carolina Chanticleers · Sun Belt · 0-1 · Away
FPI -8.3 · rank 103 · No CFBD row
+21 (-105)
+1000
WVU
West Virginia Mountaineers · Big 12 · 1-0 · Home
FPI 5.3 · rank 49 · No CFBD row
-21 (-115)
-1800

Market vs model

Spread
WVU -21
WVU -21 (-115)
CCU +21 (-105)
Model
WVU -16.1
Edge
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
WVU
WVU -1800 · CCU +1000
Total 54.5 — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket
ML win

Number from DraftKings, via ESPN.

Why

CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.

  • WVU rating 5.3, CCU rating -8.3.
  • Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
  • Home field adds 2.5 to WVU.
  • Predicted margin is WVU by 16.1.
  • There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
  • Model home 16.1. No market line yet. (Rating gap 13.6; home field +2.5).
  • Moneyline ticket is WVU, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
  • No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.

Recent form

CCU

FPI -8.3 · rank 103 · No CFBD row

ESPN did not send a recent-form list.

WVU

FPI 5.3 · rank 49 · No CFBD row

ESPN did not send a recent-form list.

Injuries

no injury feed wired yet

Lock a ticket

Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.

Model home 16.1. No market line yet. (Rating gap 13.6; home field +2.5).

Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.