Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026

The Saturday Slate

← The board
Sat, Sep 12 · 11:00am CT · Bill Snyder Family Stadium · Manhattan, KS · TNTFinal
WSU
Washington State Cougars · Pac-12 · 0-2 · Away
FPI -7 · rank 97 · No CFBD row
+17.5 (-108)
+650
KSU
Kansas State Wildcats · Big 12 · 2-0 · Home
FPI 11.2 · rank 30 · No CFBD row
-17.5 (-112)
-1000

Market vs model

Spread
KSU -17.5
KSU -17.5 (-112)
WSU +17.5 (-108)
Model
KSU -20.6
Edge
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
KSU
KSU -1000 · WSU +650
Total 48.5 — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket
ML win

Number from DraftKings, via ESPN.

Why

CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.

  • KSU rating 11.2, WSU rating -7.
  • Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
  • Home field adds 2.5 to KSU.
  • Predicted margin is KSU by 20.6.
  • There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
  • Model home 20.6. No market line yet. (Rating gap 18.1; home field +2.5).
  • Moneyline ticket is KSU, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
  • No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.

Recent form

WSU

FPI -7 · rank 97 · No CFBD row

ESPN did not send a recent-form list.

KSU

FPI 11.2 · rank 30 · No CFBD row

ESPN did not send a recent-form list.

Injuries

no injury feed wired yet

Lock a ticket

Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.

Model home 20.6. No market line yet. (Rating gap 18.1; home field +2.5).

Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.