Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026

The Saturday Slate

← The board
Sat, Sep 12 · 12:30pm CT · Boone Pickens Stadium · Stillwater, OK · ESPNEWSFinal
#20 ORE
Oregon Ducks · Big Ten · 1-1 · Away
FPI 19.2 · rank 9 · No CFBD row
-24.5 (-112)
-2400
OKST
Oklahoma State Cowboys · Big 12 · 1-1 · Home
FPI 5 · rank 50 · No CFBD row
+24.5 (-108)
+1200

Market vs model

Spread
ORE -24.5
OKST +24.5 (-108)
ORE -24.5 (-112)
Model
ORE -11.7
Edge
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
ORE
OKST +1200 · ORE -2400
Total 55.5 — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket
ML loss

Number from DraftKings, via ESPN.

Why

CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.

  • OKST rating 5, ORE rating 19.2.
  • Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
  • Home field adds 2.5 to OKST.
  • Predicted margin is ORE by 11.7.
  • There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
  • Model away 11.7. No market line yet. (Rating gap -14.2; home field +2.5).
  • Moneyline ticket is ORE, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
  • No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.

Recent form

ORE

FPI 19.2 · rank 9 · No CFBD row

ESPN did not send a recent-form list.

OKST

FPI 5 · rank 50 · No CFBD row

ESPN did not send a recent-form list.

Injuries

no injury feed wired yet

Lock a ticket

Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.

Model away 11.7. No market line yet. (Rating gap -14.2; home field +2.5).

Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.