Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026

The Saturday Slate

← The board
Sat, Sep 12 · 7:08pm CT · McLane Stadium · Waco, TX · ESPN+Final
PV
Prairie View A&M Panthers · 1-2 · Away
No FPI row · No CFBD row
+37.5 (-108)
BAY
Baylor Bears · Big 12 · 1-1 · Home
FPI 8.1 · rank 38 · No CFBD row
-37.5 (-112)

Market vs model

Spread
BAY -37.5
BAY -37.5 (-112)
PV +37.5 (-108)
Model
BAY -22.6
Edge
Thin data
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
BAY
BAY · PV
Total 55.5 — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket
ML win

Number from DraftKings, via ESPN.

Why

CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.

  • BAY rating 8.1, PV rating -12.
  • Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
  • Home field adds 2.5 to BAY.
  • Predicted margin is BAY by 22.6.
  • There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
  • Model home 22.6. No market line yet. (Rating gap 20.1; home field +2.5; FCS placeholder -12).
  • Moneyline ticket is BAY, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
  • No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.

Recent form

PV

No FPI row · No CFBD row

ESPN did not send a recent-form list.

BAY

FPI 8.1 · rank 38 · No CFBD row

ESPN did not send a recent-form list.

Injuries

no injury feed wired yet

Lock a ticket

Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.

Model home 22.6. No market line yet. (Rating gap 20.1; home field +2.5; FCS placeholder -12).

Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.