Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026
The Saturday Slate
Sat, Sep 12 · 2:30pm CT · Folsom Field · Boulder, CO · ESPN+Final
WEB
Weber State Wildcats · 1-2 · Away
No FPI row · No CFBD row
+38.5 (-108)
+2200
COLO
Colorado Buffaloes · Big 12 · 2-0 · Home
FPI -0.7 · rank 70 · No CFBD row
-38.5 (-112)
-8000
Market vs model
Spread
COLO -38.5
COLO -38.5 (-112)
WEB +38.5 (-108)
WEB +38.5 (-108)
Model
COLO -13.8
Edge —
Thin data
ESPN FPI only
Thin data
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
COLO
COLO -8000 · WEB +2200
Total 57.5 — no O/U pick
Total 57.5 — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket
ML win
Why
CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.
- COLO rating -0.7, WEB rating -12.
- Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
- Home field adds 2.5 to COLO.
- Predicted margin is COLO by 13.8.
- There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
- Model home 13.8. No market line yet. (Rating gap 11.3; home field +2.5; FCS placeholder -12).
- Moneyline ticket is COLO, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
- No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.
Recent form
WEB
ESPN did not send a recent-form list.
COLO
ESPN did not send a recent-form list.
Injuries
no injury feed wired yet
Lock a ticket
Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.
Model home 13.8. No market line yet. (Rating gap 11.3; home field +2.5; FCS placeholder -12).
Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.