Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026

The Saturday Slate

← The board
Sat, Sep 12 · 6:00pm CT · Nippert Stadium · Cincinnati, OH · ESPN+Final
WCU
Western Carolina Catamounts · 1-2 · Away
No FPI row · No CFBD row
+36.5 (-112)
CIN
Cincinnati Bearcats · Big 12 · 2-0 · Home
FPI 5.8 · rank 46 · No CFBD row
-36.5 (-108)

Market vs model

Spread
CIN -36.5
CIN -36.5 (-108)
WCU +36.5 (-112)
Model
CIN -20.3
Edge
Thin data
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
CIN
CIN · WCU
Total 61.5 — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket
ML win

Number from DraftKings, via ESPN.

Why

CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.

  • CIN rating 5.8, WCU rating -12.
  • Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
  • Home field adds 2.5 to CIN.
  • Predicted margin is CIN by 20.3.
  • There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
  • Model home 20.3. No market line yet. (Rating gap 17.8; home field +2.5; FCS placeholder -12).
  • Moneyline ticket is CIN, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
  • No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.

Recent form

WCU

No FPI row · No CFBD row

ESPN did not send a recent-form list.

CIN

FPI 5.8 · rank 46 · No CFBD row

ESPN did not send a recent-form list.

Injuries

no injury feed wired yet

Lock a ticket

Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.

Model home 20.3. No market line yet. (Rating gap 17.8; home field +2.5; FCS placeholder -12).

Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.