Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026
The Saturday Slate
Sat, Sep 12 · 2:30pm CT · Acrisure Stadium · Pittsburgh, PA · ESPN2Final
UCF
UCF Knights · Big 12 · 1-1 · Away
FPI 4.9 · rank 52 · No CFBD row
+7.5 (-112)
+240
PITT
Pittsburgh Panthers · ACC · 2-0 · Home
FPI 12.3 · rank 25 · No CFBD row
-7.5 (-108)
-298
Market vs model
Spread
PITT -7.5
PITT -7.5 (-108)
UCF +7.5 (-112)
UCF +7.5 (-112)
Model
PITT -10
Edge —
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
PITT
PITT -298 · UCF +240
Total 55.5 — no O/U pick
Total 55.5 — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket
ML win
Why
CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.
- PITT rating 12.3, UCF rating 4.9.
- Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
- Home field adds 2.5 to PITT.
- Predicted margin is PITT by 10.
- There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
- Model home 10. No market line yet. (Rating gap 7.5; home field +2.5).
- Moneyline ticket is PITT, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
- No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.
Recent form
UCF
ESPN did not send a recent-form list.
PITT
ESPN did not send a recent-form list.
Injuries
no injury feed wired yet
Lock a ticket
Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.
Model home 10. No market line yet. (Rating gap 7.5; home field +2.5).
Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.