Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026

The Saturday Slate

← The board
Sat, Sep 12 · 12:00pm CT · Milan Puskar Stadium · Morgantown, WV · ESPN+Final
UTM
UT Martin Skyhawks · 1-2 · Away
No FPI row · No CFBD row
+41.5 (-112)
WVU
West Virginia Mountaineers · Big 12 · 2-0 · Home
FPI 5.3 · rank 49 · No CFBD row
-41.5 (-108)

Market vs model

Spread
WVU -41.5
WVU -41.5 (-108)
UTM +41.5 (-112)
Model
WVU -19.8
Edge
Thin data
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
WVU
WVU · UTM
Total 57.5 — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket
ML win

Number from DraftKings, via ESPN.

Why

CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.

  • WVU rating 5.3, UTM rating -12.
  • Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
  • Home field adds 2.5 to WVU.
  • Predicted margin is WVU by 19.8.
  • There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
  • Model home 19.8. No market line yet. (Rating gap 17.3; home field +2.5; FCS placeholder -12).
  • Moneyline ticket is WVU, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
  • No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.

Recent form

UTM

No FPI row · No CFBD row

ESPN did not send a recent-form list.

WVU

FPI 5.3 · rank 49 · No CFBD row

ESPN did not send a recent-form list.

Injuries

no injury feed wired yet

Lock a ticket

Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.

Model home 19.8. No market line yet. (Rating gap 17.3; home field +2.5; FCS placeholder -12).

Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.