Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026
The Saturday Slate
Sat, Sep 19 · 11:00am CT · Bill Snyder Family Stadium · Manhattan, KS · ESPN2Final
TULN
Tulane Green Wave · American · 1-2 · Away
FPI -0.2 · rank 68 · No CFBD row
+20.5 (-112)
+850
KSU
Kansas State Wildcats · Big 12 · 3-0 · Home
FPI 11.2 · rank 30 · No CFBD row
-20.5 (-108)
-1450
Market vs model
Spread
KSU -20.5
KSU -20.5 (-108)
TULN +20.5 (-112)
TULN +20.5 (-112)
Model
KSU -13.9
Edge —
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
KSU
KSU -1450 · TULN +850
Total 49.5 — no O/U pick
Total 49.5 — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket
ML win
Why
CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.
- KSU rating 11.2, TULN rating -0.2.
- Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
- Home field adds 2.5 to KSU.
- Predicted margin is KSU by 13.9.
- There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
- Model home 13.9. No market line yet. (Rating gap 11.4; home field +2.5).
- Moneyline ticket is KSU, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
- No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.
Recent form
TULN
ESPN did not send a recent-form list.
KSU
ESPN did not send a recent-form list.
Injuries
no injury feed wired yet
Lock a ticket
Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.
Model home 13.9. No market line yet. (Rating gap 11.4; home field +2.5).
Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.