Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026
The Saturday Slate
Sat, Sep 19 · 9:30pm CT · Casino Del Sol Stadium · Tucson, AZ · TNTFinal
NIU
Northern Illinois Huskies · Mountain West · 0-3 · Away
FPI -17 · rank 129 · No CFBD row
+34.5 (-110)
+2000
ARIZ
Arizona Wildcats · Big 12 · 2-1 · Home
FPI 5.9 · rank 45 · No CFBD row
-34.5 (-110)
-6500
Market vs model
Spread
ARIZ -34.5
ARIZ -34.5 (-110)
NIU +34.5 (-110)
NIU +34.5 (-110)
Model
ARIZ -25.4
Edge —
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
ARIZ
ARIZ -6500 · NIU +2000
Total 50.5 — no O/U pick
Total 50.5 — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket
ML win
Why
CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.
- ARIZ rating 5.9, NIU rating -17.
- Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
- Home field adds 2.5 to ARIZ.
- Predicted margin is ARIZ by 25.4.
- There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
- Model home 25.4. No market line yet. (Rating gap 22.9; home field +2.5).
- Moneyline ticket is ARIZ, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
- No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.
Recent form
NIU
ESPN did not send a recent-form list.
ARIZ
ESPN did not send a recent-form list.
Injuries
no injury feed wired yet
Lock a ticket
Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.
Model home 25.4. No market line yet. (Rating gap 22.9; home field +2.5).
Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.