Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026

The Saturday Slate

← The board
Sat, Sep 19 · 7:15pm CT · Canvas Stadium · Fort Collins, CO · CBSFinal
#9 BYU
BYU Cougars · Big 12 · 3-0 · Away
FPI 15.2 · rank 19 · No CFBD row
-17.5 (-112)
-850
CSU
Colorado State Rams · Pac-12 · 2-1 · Home
FPI -6.1 · rank 96 · No CFBD row
+17.5 (-108)
+575

Market vs model

Spread
BYU -17.5
CSU +17.5 (-108)
BYU -17.5 (-112)
Model
BYU -18.8
Edge
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
BYU
CSU +575 · BYU -850
Total 54.5 — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket
ML win

Number from DraftKings, via ESPN.

Why

CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.

  • CSU rating -6.1, BYU rating 15.2.
  • Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
  • Home field adds 2.5 to CSU.
  • Predicted margin is BYU by 18.8.
  • There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
  • Model away 18.8. No market line yet. (Rating gap -21.3; home field +2.5).
  • Moneyline ticket is BYU, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
  • No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.

Recent form

BYU

FPI 15.2 · rank 19 · No CFBD row

ESPN did not send a recent-form list.

CSU

FPI -6.1 · rank 96 · No CFBD row

ESPN did not send a recent-form list.

Injuries

no injury feed wired yet

Lock a ticket

Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.

Model away 18.8. No market line yet. (Rating gap -21.3; home field +2.5).

Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.