Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026
The Saturday Slate
Sat, Sep 19 · 6:30pm CT · Northwestern Medicine Field at Martin Stadium · Evanston, IL · FOXFinal
COLO
Colorado Buffaloes · Big 12 · 2-1 · Away
FPI -0.7 · rank 70 · No CFBD row
+3.5 (-110)
+145
NU
Northwestern Wildcats · Big Ten · 2-0 · Home
FPI 9.3 · rank 33 · No CFBD row
-3.5 (-110)
-175
Market vs model
Spread
NU -3.5
NU -3.5 (-110)
COLO +3.5 (-110)
COLO +3.5 (-110)
Model
NU -12.5
Edge —
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
NU
NU -175 · COLO +145
Total 47.5 — no O/U pick
Total 47.5 — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket
ML win
Why
CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.
- NU rating 9.3, COLO rating -0.7.
- Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
- Home field adds 2.5 to NU.
- Predicted margin is NU by 12.5.
- There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
- Model home 12.5. No market line yet. (Rating gap 10; home field +2.5).
- Moneyline ticket is NU, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
- No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.
Recent form
COLO
ESPN did not send a recent-form list.
NU
ESPN did not send a recent-form list.
Injuries
no injury feed wired yet
Lock a ticket
Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.
Model home 12.5. No market line yet. (Rating gap 10; home field +2.5).
Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.