Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026
The Saturday Slate
Sat, Sep 19 · 2:30pm CT · TQL Stadium · Cincinnati, OH · ESPN+Final
M-OH
Miami (OH) RedHawks · MAC · 1-2 · Away
FPI -8.4 · rank 104 · No CFBD row
+14.5 (-112)
+470
CIN
Cincinnati Bearcats · Big 12 · 3-0 · Home
FPI 5.8 · rank 46 · No CFBD row
-14.5 (-108)
-650
Market vs model
Spread
CIN -14.5
CIN -14.5 (-108)
M-OH +14.5 (-112)
M-OH +14.5 (-112)
Model
CIN -16.8
Edge —
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
CIN
CIN -650 · M-OH +470
Total 50.5 — no O/U pick
Total 50.5 — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket
ML win
Why
CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.
- CIN rating 5.8, M-OH rating -8.4.
- Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
- Home field adds 2.5 to CIN.
- Predicted margin is CIN by 16.8.
- There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
- Model home 16.8. No market line yet. (Rating gap 14.3; home field +2.5).
- Moneyline ticket is CIN, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
- No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.
Recent form
M-OH
ESPN did not send a recent-form list.
CIN
ESPN did not send a recent-form list.
Injuries
no injury feed wired yet
Lock a ticket
Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.
Model home 16.8. No market line yet. (Rating gap 14.3; home field +2.5).
Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.