Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026
The Saturday Slate
Sat, Sep 19 · 6:00pm CT · Acrisure Bounce House · Orlando, FL · ESPN+Final
GAST
Georgia State Panthers · Sun Belt · 2-1 · Away
FPI -8.8 · rank 107 · No CFBD row
+17.5 (-118)
+675
UCF
UCF Knights · Big 12 · 2-1 · Home
FPI 4.9 · rank 52 · No CFBD row
-17.5 (-102)
-1050
Market vs model
Spread
UCF -17.5
UCF -17.5 (-102)
GAST +17.5 (-118)
GAST +17.5 (-118)
Model
UCF -16.1
Edge —
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
UCF
UCF -1050 · GAST +675
Total 50.5 — no O/U pick
Total 50.5 — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket
ML win
Why
CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.
- UCF rating 4.9, GAST rating -8.8.
- Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
- Home field adds 2.5 to UCF.
- Predicted margin is UCF by 16.1.
- There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
- Model home 16.1. No market line yet. (Rating gap 13.6; home field +2.5).
- Moneyline ticket is UCF, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
- No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.
Recent form
GAST
ESPN did not send a recent-form list.
UCF
ESPN did not send a recent-form list.
Injuries
no injury feed wired yet
Lock a ticket
Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.
Model home 16.1. No market line yet. (Rating gap 13.6; home field +2.5).
Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.