Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026
The Saturday Slate
Sat, Sep 19 · 2:30pm CT · Rice-Eccles Stadium · Salt Lake City, UT · FOXFinal
USU
Utah State Aggies · Pac-12 · 0-3 · Away
FPI -8.8 · rank 108 · No CFBD row
+26.5 (-112)
+1500
#15 UTAH
Utah Utes · Big 12 · 3-0 · Home
FPI 16.5 · rank 15 · No CFBD row
-26.5 (-108)
-3600
Market vs model
Spread
UTAH -26.5
UTAH -26.5 (-108)
USU +26.5 (-112)
USU +26.5 (-112)
Model
UTAH -27.8
Edge —
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
UTAH
UTAH -3600 · USU +1500
Total 55.5 — no O/U pick
Total 55.5 — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket
ML win
Why
CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.
- UTAH rating 16.5, USU rating -8.8.
- Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
- Home field adds 2.5 to UTAH.
- Predicted margin is UTAH by 27.8.
- There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
- Model home 27.8. No market line yet. (Rating gap 25.3; home field +2.5).
- Moneyline ticket is UTAH, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
- No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.
Recent form
USU
ESPN did not send a recent-form list.
UTAH
ESPN did not send a recent-form list.
Injuries
no injury feed wired yet
Lock a ticket
Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.
Model home 27.8. No market line yet. (Rating gap 25.3; home field +2.5).
Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.