Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026

The Saturday Slate

← The board
Sat, Sep 19 · 6:30pm CT · Bank of America Stadium · Charlotte, NC · ACC Network · NeutralFinal
WVU
West Virginia Mountaineers · Big 12 · 3-0 · Away
FPI 5.3 · rank 49 · No CFBD row
+10.5 (-105)
+320
#25 UVA
Virginia Cavaliers · ACC · 2-1
FPI 9.2 · rank 34 · No CFBD row
-10.5 (-115)
-410

Market vs model

Spread
UVA -10.5
UVA -10.5 (-115)
WVU +10.5 (-105)
Model
UVA -3.9
Edge
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
UVA
UVA -410 · WVU +320
Total 51.5 — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket
ML loss

Number from DraftKings, via ESPN.

Why

CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.

  • UVA rating 9.2, WVU rating 5.3.
  • Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
  • Neutral site, so home field is 0.
  • Predicted margin is UVA by 3.9.
  • There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
  • Model home 3.9. No market line yet. (Rating gap 3.9; neutral site (no home field)).
  • Moneyline ticket is UVA, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
  • No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.

Recent form

WVU

FPI 5.3 · rank 49 · No CFBD row

ESPN did not send a recent-form list.

UVA

FPI 9.2 · rank 34 · No CFBD row

ESPN did not send a recent-form list.

Injuries

no injury feed wired yet

Lock a ticket

Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.

Model home 3.9. No market line yet. (Rating gap 3.9; neutral site (no home field)).

Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.