Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026

The Saturday Slate

← The board
Sat, Sep 19 · 6:00pm CT · Boone Pickens Stadium · Stillwater, OK · ESPN+Final
MUR
Murray State Racers · 1-3 · Away
No FPI row · No CFBD row
+56.5 (-115)
OKST
Oklahoma State Cowboys · Big 12 · 2-1 · Home
FPI 5 · rank 50 · No CFBD row
-56.5 (-105)

Market vs model

Spread
OKST -56.5
OKST -56.5 (-105)
MUR +56.5 (-115)
Model
OKST -19.5
Edge
Thin data
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
OKST
OKST · MUR
Total 70.5 — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket
ML win

Number from DraftKings, via ESPN.

Why

CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.

  • OKST rating 5, MUR rating -12.
  • Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
  • Home field adds 2.5 to OKST.
  • Predicted margin is OKST by 19.5.
  • There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
  • Model home 19.5. No market line yet. (Rating gap 17; home field +2.5; FCS placeholder -12).
  • Moneyline ticket is OKST, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
  • No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.

Recent form

MUR

No FPI row · No CFBD row

ESPN did not send a recent-form list.

OKST

FPI 5 · rank 50 · No CFBD row

ESPN did not send a recent-form list.

Injuries

no injury feed wired yet

Lock a ticket

Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.

Model home 19.5. No market line yet. (Rating gap 17; home field +2.5; FCS placeholder -12).

Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.