Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026

The Saturday Slate

← The board
Sat, Sep 26 · 11:00am CT · Galaxy Stadium · Lubbock, TX · TNT11:00am CT
SHSU
Sam Houston Bearkats · C-USA · 1-2 · Away
FPI -8.9 · rank 110 · No CFBD row
+34.5 (-112)
#11 TTU
Texas Tech Red Raiders · Big 12 · 3-0 · Home
FPI 15.8 · rank 17 · No CFBD row
-34.5 (-108)

Market vs model

Spread
TTU -34.5
TTU -34.5 (-108)
SHSU +34.5 (-112)
Model
TTU -27.2
Edge 7.3 pts SHSU
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
TTU
TTU · SHSU
Total 55.5 — no O/U pick
CallStrong

Number from DraftKings, via ESPN.

Why

CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.

  • TTU rating 15.8, SHSU rating -8.9.
  • Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
  • Home field adds 2.5 to TTU.
  • Predicted margin is TTU by 27.2.
  • Edge is 7.3 points toward SHSU.
  • Edge 7.3 pts vs the posted number. (Rating gap 24.7; home field +2.5).
  • Moneyline ticket is TTU, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
  • No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.

Recent form

SHSU

FPI -8.9 · rank 110 · No CFBD row

  1. Wvs NICH 59-0 · Sat, Sep 19
  2. Lvs TLSA 23-17 · Sat, Sep 12
  3. L@ TROY 24-21 · Sat, Sep 5
  4. Lvs FIU 56-16 · Sat, Nov 29
  5. L@ MTSU 31-17 · Sat, Nov 22

TTU

FPI 15.8 · rank 17 · No CFBD row

  1. Wvs HOU 28-26 · Fri, Sep 18
  2. W@ ORST 35-24 · Sat, Sep 12
  3. Wvs ACU 33-10 · Sat, Sep 5
  4. Lvs ORE 23-0 · Thu, Jan 1
  5. Wvs BYU 34-7 · Sat, Dec 6

Injuries

no injury feed wired yet

Lock a ticket

Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.

Writes this spread into the ledger. Closing-line value stays blank.

Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.