Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026
The Saturday Slate
Sat, Sep 26 · 3:00pm CT · Allen E. Paulson Stadium · Statesboro, GA · ESPNU3:00pm CT
#25 HOU
Houston Cougars · Big 12 · 2-1 · Away
FPI 10.8 · rank 31 · No CFBD row
-18.5 (-110)
-1050
GASO
Georgia Southern Eagles · Sun Belt · 1-2 · Home
FPI -7.8 · rank 101 · No CFBD row
+18.5 (-110)
+675
Market vs model
Spread
HOU -18.5
GASO +18.5 (-110)
HOU -18.5 (-110)
HOU -18.5 (-110)
Model
HOU -16.1
Edge 2.4 pts GASO
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
HOU
GASO +675 · HOU -1050
Total 56.5 — no O/U pick
Total 56.5 — no O/U pick
CallLean
Why
CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.
- GASO rating -7.8, HOU rating 10.8.
- Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
- Home field adds 2.5 to GASO.
- Predicted margin is HOU by 16.1.
- Edge is 2.4 points toward GASO.
- Edge 2.4 pts vs the posted number. (Rating gap -18.6; home field +2.5).
- Moneyline ticket is HOU, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
- No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.
Recent form
HOU
- L@ TTU 28-26 · Fri, Sep 18
- Wvs SOU 77-6 · Sat, Sep 12
- Wvs ORST 33-20 · Sat, Sep 5
- Wvs LSU 38-35 · Sat, Dec 27
- W@ BAY 31-24 · Sat, Nov 29
GASO
- L@ JXST 31-27 · Sat, Sep 19
- L@ CLEM 22-7 · Sat, Sep 12
- Wvs CHSO 31-0 · Sat, Sep 5
- Wvs APP 29-10 · Mon, Dec 29
- W@ MRSH 24-19 · Sat, Nov 29
Injuries
no injury feed wired yet
Lock a ticket
Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.
Writes this spread into the ledger. Closing-line value stays blank.
Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.