Clark desk · DallasThursday, September 24, 2026
The Saturday Slate
Sat, Oct 3 · 11:00am CT · David Booth Kansas Memorial Stadium · Lawrence, KS · ESPNU11:00am CT
MTSU
Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders · C-USA · 2-1 · Away
FPI -13.2 · rank 120 · No CFBD row
—
—
KU
Kansas Jayhawks · Big 12 · 1-2 · Home
FPI -0.1 · rank 67 · No CFBD row
—
—
Market vs model
Spread
—
KU —
MTSU —
MTSU —
Model
KU -15.5
Edge —
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
Full ratings
ESPN FPI only
ML / total
KU
KU — · MTSU —
Total — — no O/U pick
Total — — no O/U pick
CallNo ticket
Why
CFBD enrichment is off. No API key and no ratings cache, so these numbers are ESPN FPI only.
- KU rating -0.1, MTSU rating -13.2.
- Fuel: ESPN FPI only. CFBD enrichment is not in this number.
- Home field adds 2.5 to KU.
- Predicted margin is KU by 15.5.
- There is no posted spread, so the edge is blank and there is no ATS ticket.
- Model home 15.5. No market line yet. (Rating gap 13; home field +2.5).
- Moneyline ticket is KU, because the predicted margin clears 2 points.
- No totals model — we do not guess over/unders.
Recent form
MTSU
- Wvs NEV 27-20 · Sat, Sep 19
- L@ MRSH 28-26 · Sat, Sep 12
- Wvs MUR 38-14 · Sat, Sep 5
- W@ NMSU 31-24 OT · Sat, Nov 29
- Wvs SHSU 31-17 · Sat, Nov 22
KU
- Lvs ASU 24-17 · Sat, Sep 19
- Lvs MIZ 38-21 · Fri, Sep 11
- Wvs LIU 51-6 · Fri, Sep 4
- Lvs UTAH 31-21 · Fri, Nov 28
- L@ ISU 38-14 · Sat, Nov 22
Injuries
no injury feed wired yet
Lock a ticket
Same rules as the board. ATS only when the edge clears 1.5 and the rating is not a placeholder. Moneyline only when the model has a winner by 2 or more. The lock stores the line now. CLV stays empty until there is a closing number.
Model home 15.5. No market line yet. (Rating gap 13; home field +2.5).
Writes this moneyline into the ledger. No point line, and no fake close.